How to predict Online Sales

31 10 2009

Smart Digital Spending

How to predict online sales

Forecasting online orders is quite easy if there is historical data available. If all of sudden you were given extra budget for your search or online display campaign, performing a diminishing returns model will help predict the amount of conversions you can expect to generate with this increased budget. Likewise, if you have to cut online spend, a diminishing returns model will show you the expected conversion volume loss as a result.

Let’s suppose we want to predict the increase in search conversions (dependent variable) based on an increase in paid search spend (independent variable). Would we use a linear or logarithmic-scale to determine our forecast equation?

To see a step-by-step tutorial on how to forecast online sales using a diminishing returns model, go to SmartDigitalSpending.com.

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